Sunday Thoughts

We have just sixteen more days of the election then the 2028 election starts! I wish I were kidding about that. Things are looking surprisingly good for Trump, if their “get out the vote” machine is as advertised. Early voting numbers, assuming they are real or close to real, favor Republicans in general. The polls are all better for Trump this time in the key states than they were in 2020. The riggers are less enthusiastic this time, but it is hard to tell with riggers. 

The interesting thing about the Harris campaign over the last week is they decided to go all negative in their presentation and advertising. Usually, you go negative early, using proxies to dirty the opponent up, maybe baiting him into doing the same. Then the candidate shifts gears, appearing to take the high road hoping to be the cleanest dirty shirt. “My opponent has no plans, just more of the divisive politics that have ruined everything.” 

Team Harris has flipped this on its head. That interview with Fox was hilarious, as it felt like the only thing Harris could remember about her prep was to say Trump’s name. What they wanted her to do was present a narrative that says the last ten years have sucked because mean orange man has made politics mean and orange. Instead, it came out as that weird exchange where she says “and Trump has been running for ten years” in response to a question about the polls.

The ads during the football games are just as weird. There is one with an old white guy who does the “I am a lifelong conservative but…” act, which never works. It is so hackneyed and stupid it suggests they have not hired good ad people. Then you have an old white woman who claims to be pro-life but voting for Harris because of Project 2025. No one knows or cares about Project 2025. This is an example of how the Harris people live inside their internet bubble, rather than in the meat space.

In total, however, it looks like the plan is to blast away at the idea that a vote for Harris is a vote against Trump to recapture the anti-Trump hysteria of 2020. This is what should have happened last month so that October could be the closing argument about all the free stuff you get if you vote the Harris. You get people wound up about Trump and then offer them the solution, so they are motivated to go out and stuff ballot boxes, rig voting machines and the rest of the ways they fortify our democracy.